The Matchday 4 La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Villarreal will take place on September 13 at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano Stadium. Atletico Madrid vs. Villarreal: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Atletico Madrid
It's somewhat unusual to see the capital club sitting low at 17th place in the standings. After three rounds, the team has only two points, marking their worst start in the league since 2009. Madrid lost to Espanyol (1-2) in the first round, followed by two 1-1 draws against Elche and Alaves.
- Madrid have conceded in 5 of their last 6 La Liga matches.
- At home, Atletico is on a 5-match unbeaten streak in the league (4 wins, 1 draw).
- The club has opened the scoring in 6 of their last 7 home matches in La Liga.
Predicted lineup for Atletico Madrid (3-4-3)
Jan Oblak – David Ganzko, Robin Le Normand, Clement Lenglet – Joao Cardoso, Pablo Barrios, Thiago Almada, Marcos Llorente – Giuliano Simeone, Julian Alvarez, Alexander Sorloth.
Villarreal
Marcelino Garcia's side started the new season brilliantly. The club played their first two games at home, easily defeating Oviedo (2-0) and Girona (5-0). In the last round, the Valencians traveled to Vigo, where they drew with Celta (1-1). Thus, their 8-match winning streak in the league came to an end against the Galicians. After three matches, the team is in third place.
- The club has scored at least two goals in 5 of their last 6 La Liga games.
- Villarreal has avoided defeat in 8 of their last 10 away matches in La Liga (6 wins, 2 draws).
- The Valencians have not conceded more than 1 goal in 9 of their last 11 away league games.
Predicted lineup for Villarreal (4-3-3)
Luis Junior – Rafa Marin, Sergi Cardona, Santiago Mouriño, Juan Foyth – Alberto Moleiro, Santi Comesaña, Pape Gueye – Karl Etta Eyong, Nicolas Pepe, Tajon Buchanan.
Referee
Jose Luis Munuera (Spain)
Matches – 20 (La Liga, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 93;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.7;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 30%.
Atletico Madrid vs. Villarreal: Match Prediction
It's been a long time since Madrid started the league so poorly. The club hopes that the international break will help, and during this period, Diego Simeone will find a solution to the current situation. In the upcoming match, Atletico will aim solely for victory, and to collect 3 points, they will need to perform well in attack. At home, the team rarely drops points and has not left their stadium without scoring in their last 18 La Liga matches.
There's a high probability that the visitors will score as well. The Valencians have scored in 8 of their last 10 away league games. However, the team consistently concedes on the road. It's also worth noting that both teams scored in the last five head-to-head meetings in La Liga.
My prediction – Both teams to score – yes
* The starting lineup for each team is based on their last match in this tournament.
